
China To Address Auto Overcapacity & E-Commerce Competition
4 Min. Read Time
Key News
Asian equities were largely higher overnight, led by Thailand, Pakistan, and Taiwan, while Japan underperformed and Hong Kong was closed for the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR) Establishment Day, which marks the handover of the territory to China by the UK following 156 years of colonial rule.
Mainland China opened lower, but grinded higher on good volumes and mixed breadth.
President Xi headed the Central Committee for Financial and Economic Affairs’ sixth meeting, which was focused on several economic areas. The release states the government should “govern the low-price and disorderly competition of enterprises in accordance with laws and regulations” and “promote the orderly exit of backward production capacity”. This is aligned with recent government regulators’ talk on addressing overcapacity in the auto industry. Coincidentally, the China Automobile Dealers Association’s investor warning index increased +3.9% to 56.6%. Levels above 50 indicate auto dealers are holding high levels of inventory, which exposes them to liquidity risk. The statement may also be referencing the recent increase in E-Commerce competition. JD.com entered restaurant delivery and online travel by slashing prices and losing money in order to garner market share.
While execution and implementation of this guidance will be important, it should be cheered by investors as it would raise profit margins. It would also address President Trump’s and the EU’s concerns on excess auto production. The release also referenced growing the marine industry, including offshore wind power, as electricity companies outperformed.
Mainland healthcare stocks outperformed after the National Healthcare Security Administration and National Health Commission released "Several Measures to Support the High-Quality Development of Innovative Drugs".
Real estate was off, as the China Index Academy announced that year-to-date (YTD) sales through June from the top 100 real estate “enterprises” were RMB 1.8 trillion, which is down -11.8% year-over-year (YoY). June sales were off -18.5% YoY, though improved +1.2% from May. Construction companies underperformed today on the real estate release.
Banks were higher, as investors are anticipating high dividend payments, based on high balance sheet cash positions.
Aerospace was hit with profit-taking after recent outperformance. Semiconductors and software both underperformed, as well, though I did not see a negative catalyst.
June new energy vehicle (NEV), a category that includes both electric vehicles (EVs) and hybrid electric vehicles, delivery figures were released this morning. The below is courtesy of CnEVPost:
- NIO: 24,925 units
- Li Auto: 36,279 units, -24% YoY
- Zeekr: 43,012 units
- XPeng: 34,611 units, +224% YoY
- Leapmotor: 48,006 units, +138% YoY
- Xiaomi: 25,000 units
Tesla is increasing the price of its Model 3 in China to RMB 285,500 from RMB 275,500. Tesla China also announced the installation of V4 super chargers in several cities.
Today’s anniversary of the turnover of Hong Kong reminds me of how little is taught in the West of the Opium Wars and the colonial powers' invasion of China. I understand why, as it isn’t that pretty. I did not know very much about it until joining KraneShares, where, out of curiosity, I educated myself by reading several books. I’ve included an image below of the Shanghai International Settlement flag that includes the colonial powers that owned a piece of Shanghai. It is something that might be worth examining as it explains an element of today’s geopolitical tensions.
Last Night's Performance
Country/Index | Ticker | 1-Day Change |
---|---|---|
China (Hong Kong) | HSI Index | Closed |
Hang Seng Tech | HSTECH Index | Closed |
Hong Kong Turnover | HKTurn Index | Closed |
Hong Kong Short Sale Turnover | HKSST Index | Closed |
Short Turnover as a % of Hong Kong Turnover | N/A | Closed |
Southbound Stock Connect Net Buy/Sell (US $ Millions) | N/A | Closed |
China (Shanghai) | SHCOMP Index | 0.4% |
China (Shenzhen) | SZCOMP Index | 0.2% |
China (STAR Board) | Star50 Index | -0.9% |
Mainland Turnover | .chturn Index | -1.4% |
Nouthbound Stock Connect Net Buy/Sell (US $ Millions) | N/A | Not Available |
Jing Daily China Global Luxury Index | CHINALUX Index | 0.8% |
Japan | NKY Index | -1.2% |
India | SENSEX Index | 0.1% |
Indonesia | JCI Index | -0.2% |
Malaysia | FBMKLCI Index | 0.6% |
Pakistan | KSE100 Index | 2.2% |
Philippines | PCOMP Index | 0.9% |
South Korea | KOSPI Index | 0.6% |
Taiwan | TWSE Index | 1.3% |
Thailand | SET Index | 1.9% |
Singapore | STI Index | 0.6% |
Australia | AS51 Index | 0% |
Vietnam | VNINDEX Index | 0.1% |
Indicator | Hong Kong | Mainland China |
---|---|---|
Today's Volume % of 1-Year Average | Closed | 114 |
Advancing Stocks | Closed | 2428 |
Declining Stocks | Closed | 2466 |
Outperforming Factors | Closed | Value, Dividend, Low Volatility |
Underperforming Factors | Closed | Liquidity, Growth |
Top Sectors | Closed | Healthcare, Utilities, Materials |
Bottom Sectors | Closed | Communication, Tech, Real Estate |
Top Subsectors | Closed | Motorcycle, Precious Metals, Education |
Bottom Subsectors | Closed | Business Services, Internet, Software |
Southbound Connect Buys | Closed | N/A |
Southbound Connect Sells | Closed | N/A |
MSCI China All Shares Index | # of Stocks | Average 1-Day Change (%) |
---|---|---|
Hong Kong Listed | 152 | Closed |
Communication Services | 9 | Closed |
Consumer Discretionary | 30 | Closed |
Consumer Staples | 13 | Closed |
Energy | 7 | Closed |
Financials | 23 | Closed |
Health Care | 13 | Closed |
Industrials | 19 | Closed |
Information Technology | 10 | Closed |
Materials | 10 | Closed |
Real Estate | 6 | Closed |
Utilities | 12 | Closed |
Mainland China Listed | 432 | 0.29 |
Communication Services | 9 | -0.45 |
Consumer Discretionary | 31 | -0.17 |
Consumer Staples | 27 | -0.08 |
Energy | 16 | 0.36 |
Financials | 63 | 0.8 |
Health Care | 40 | 0.96 |
Industrials | 69 | -0.1 |
Information Technology | 85 | -0.39 |
Materials | 68 | 0.9 |
Real Estate | 7 | -0.38 |
Utilities | 17 | 0.96 |
Shanghai and Shenzhen's Most Heavily Traded by Value | 1-Day Change (%) |
---|---|
EAST MONEY INFORMATION CO-A | -1.1 |
SHENZHEN FORMS SYNTRON INF-A | -9.5 |
CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES-A | -6.4 |
NORTH INDUSTRIES GROUP RED-A | 3.7 |
TIANFENG SECURITIES CO LTD-A | -2.6 |
INNER MONGOLIA FIRST MACHI-A | -0.2 |
SUZHOU DONGSHAN PRECISION-A | 10 |
ANHUI GREAT WALL MILITARY -A | 10 |
ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT CO LTD-A | -0.4 |
HENGBAO CO LTD-A | -4 |
Last Night's Exchange Rates, Prices, & Yields
- CNY per USD 7.16 versus 7.16 yesterday
- CNY per EUR 8.45 versus 8.44 yesterday
- Yield on 10-Year Government Bond 1.64% versus 1.65% yesterday
- Yield on 10-Year China Development Bank Bond 1.69% versus 1.70% yesterday
- Copper Price 0.31%
- Steel Price -0.73%