Daily Posts

China To Address Auto Overcapacity & E-Commerce Competition

4 Min. Read Time

Key News

Asian equities were largely higher overnight, led by Thailand, Pakistan, and Taiwan, while Japan underperformed and Hong Kong was closed for the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR) Establishment Day, which marks the handover of the territory to China by the UK following 156 years of colonial rule.

Mainland China opened lower, but grinded higher on good volumes and mixed breadth.

President Xi headed the Central Committee for Financial and Economic Affairs’ sixth meeting, which was focused on several economic areas. The release states the government should “govern the low-price and disorderly competition of enterprises in accordance with laws and regulations” and “promote the orderly exit of backward production capacity”. This is aligned with recent government regulators’ talk on addressing overcapacity in the auto industry. Coincidentally, the China Automobile Dealers Association’s investor warning index increased +3.9% to 56.6%. Levels above 50 indicate auto dealers are holding high levels of inventory, which exposes them to liquidity risk. The statement may also be referencing the recent increase in E-Commerce competition.  JD.com entered restaurant delivery and online travel by slashing prices and losing money in order to garner market share.

While execution and implementation of this guidance will be important, it should be cheered by investors as it would raise profit margins. It would also address President Trump’s and the EU’s concerns on excess auto production. The release also referenced growing the marine industry, including offshore wind power, as electricity companies outperformed.

Mainland healthcare stocks outperformed after the National Healthcare Security Administration and National Health Commission released "Several Measures to Support the High-Quality Development of Innovative Drugs".

Real estate was off, as the China Index Academy announced that year-to-date (YTD) sales through June from the top 100 real estate “enterprises” were RMB 1.8 trillion, which is down -11.8% year-over-year (YoY). June sales were off -18.5% YoY, though improved +1.2% from May. Construction companies underperformed today on the real estate release.

Banks were higher, as investors are anticipating high dividend payments, based on high balance sheet cash positions.

Aerospace was hit with profit-taking after recent outperformance. Semiconductors and software both underperformed, as well, though I did not see a negative catalyst.

June new energy vehicle (NEV), a category that includes both electric vehicles (EVs) and hybrid electric vehicles, delivery figures were released this morning. The below is courtesy of CnEVPost:

  • NIO: 24,925 units
  • Li Auto: 36,279 units, -24% YoY
  • Zeekr: 43,012 units
  • XPeng: 34,611 units, +224% YoY
  • Leapmotor: 48,006 units, +138% YoY
  • Xiaomi: 25,000 units

Tesla is increasing the price of its Model 3 in China to RMB 285,500 from RMB 275,500. Tesla China also announced the installation of V4 super chargers in several cities.

Today’s anniversary of the turnover of Hong Kong reminds me of how little is taught in the West of the Opium Wars and the colonial powers' invasion of China. I understand why, as it isn’t that pretty. I did not know very much about it until joining KraneShares, where, out of curiosity, I educated myself by reading several books. I’ve included an image below of the Shanghai International Settlement flag that includes the colonial powers that owned a piece of Shanghai. It is something that might be worth examining as it explains an element of today’s geopolitical tensions.

Last Night's Performance

Country/IndexTicker1-Day Change
China (Hong Kong)HSI IndexClosed
Hang Seng TechHSTECH IndexClosed
Hong Kong TurnoverHKTurn IndexClosed
Hong Kong Short Sale TurnoverHKSST IndexClosed
Short Turnover as a % of Hong Kong TurnoverN/AClosed
Southbound Stock Connect Net Buy/Sell (US $ Millions)N/AClosed
China (Shanghai)SHCOMP Index0.4%
China (Shenzhen)SZCOMP Index0.2%
China (STAR Board)Star50 Index-0.9%
Mainland Turnover.chturn Index-1.4%
Nouthbound Stock Connect Net Buy/Sell (US $ Millions)N/ANot Available
Jing Daily China Global Luxury IndexCHINALUX Index0.8%
JapanNKY Index-1.2%
IndiaSENSEX Index0.1%
IndonesiaJCI Index-0.2%
MalaysiaFBMKLCI Index0.6%
PakistanKSE100 Index2.2%
PhilippinesPCOMP Index0.9%
South KoreaKOSPI Index0.6%
TaiwanTWSE Index1.3%
ThailandSET Index1.9%
SingaporeSTI Index0.6%
AustraliaAS51 Index0%
VietnamVNINDEX Index0.1%
IndicatorHong KongMainland China
Today's Volume % of 1-Year AverageClosed114
Advancing StocksClosed2428
Declining StocksClosed2466
Outperforming FactorsClosedValue, Dividend, Low Volatility
Underperforming FactorsClosedLiquidity, Growth
Top SectorsClosedHealthcare, Utilities, Materials
Bottom SectorsClosedCommunication, Tech, Real Estate
Top SubsectorsClosedMotorcycle, Precious Metals, Education
Bottom SubsectorsClosedBusiness Services, Internet, Software
Southbound Connect BuysClosedN/A
Southbound Connect SellsClosedN/A
MSCI China All Shares Index# of StocksAverage 1-Day Change (%)
Hong Kong Listed152Closed
Communication Services9Closed
Consumer Discretionary30Closed
Consumer Staples13Closed
Energy7Closed
Financials23Closed
Health Care13Closed
Industrials19Closed
Information Technology10Closed
Materials10Closed
Real Estate6Closed
Utilities12Closed
Mainland China Listed4320.29
Communication Services9-0.45
Consumer Discretionary31-0.17
Consumer Staples27-0.08
Energy160.36
Financials630.8
Health Care400.96
Industrials69-0.1
Information Technology85-0.39
Materials680.9
Real Estate7-0.38
Utilities170.96
Shanghai and Shenzhen's Most Heavily Traded by Value 1-Day Change (%)
EAST MONEY INFORMATION CO-A-1.1
SHENZHEN FORMS SYNTRON INF-A-9.5
CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES-A-6.4
NORTH INDUSTRIES GROUP RED-A3.7
TIANFENG SECURITIES CO LTD-A-2.6
INNER MONGOLIA FIRST MACHI-A-0.2
SUZHOU DONGSHAN PRECISION-A10
ANHUI GREAT WALL MILITARY -A10
ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT CO LTD-A-0.4
HENGBAO CO LTD-A-4

Last Night's Exchange Rates, Prices, & Yields

  • CNY per USD 7.16 versus 7.16 yesterday
  • CNY per EUR 8.45 versus 8.44 yesterday
  • Yield on 10-Year Government Bond 1.64% versus 1.65% yesterday
  • Yield on 10-Year China Development Bank Bond 1.69% versus 1.70% yesterday
  • Copper Price 0.31%
  • Steel Price -0.73%